The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Elif Eralp 81% +5
- Stefan Evers 16% +2
- Werner Graf 2% —
- Kristin Brinker 2% —
- Steffen Krach 1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 days+5.5 pts
Elif Eralp, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 78% · Sep 29: 53% · Sep 30: 65% · Oct 1: 78% · Oct 2: 80% · Oct 3: 78% · Oct 4: 76% · Oct 5: 81%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Elif Eralp; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Elif Eralp wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Berlin House of Representatives
See it on Kalshi ↗