The odds
as of Oct 7, 14:27 UTC- Above 2K 53% +18
- Above 3K 7.5% —
- Above 5K 4.5% +9
- Above 7K 2% −1
- Above 10K 2% +1
- Above 12K 3% +2
- Above 15K 3% +2
- Above 20K 1% −1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
Above 2K, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 56% · Oct 1: 57% · Oct 2: 57% · Oct 3: 55% · Oct 4: 33% · Oct 5: 52% · Oct 6: 39% · Oct 7: 59%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 2K; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If The Age Of Everything by Johnny Marr has above 2K Album Equivalent Units during the October 02, 2026 - October 08, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the October 02, 2026 - October 08, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market.
Settlement sources: Luminate
See it on Kalshi ↗