The odds
as of Oct 18, 20:22 UTC- Chance of yes 12% −6.7
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$106K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 11: 11% · Oct 12: 17% · Oct 13: 17% · Oct 14: 17% · Oct 15: 11% · Oct 16: 11% · Oct 17: 14% · Oct 18: 12%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Alberta votes to secede from Canada before the date of the next Canadian federal general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗