The odds
as of Nov 4, 05:17 UTC- Cait Conley 99% +43
- Mike Lawler 1.1% −45
Traded today$2.7M
Traded in all$3.8M
Favourite, 7 days+39 pts
Cait Conley, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 60% · Oct 29: 62% · Oct 30: 64% · Oct 31: 64% · Nov 1: 62% · Nov 2: 56% · Nov 3: 48% · Nov 4: 99%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Cait Conley; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the House member sworn in for NY-17 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗