The odds
as of Oct 6, 08:34 UTC- Chance of yes 5.1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$219K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 29: 5.5% · Sep 30: 5.6% · Oct 1: 5.3% · Oct 2: 5.2% · Oct 3: 5% · Oct 4: 5.2% · Oct 5: 5.2% · Oct 6: 5.2%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗