Moving
Mistral Large 4: Text Arena Debut? 1430+ 6.5% ▼−75Arakawa / Nishimoto vs Hosoki / Sato Arakawa / Nishimoto 96% ▲+63Baycurrent Classic End of Round 2 Leader Jacob Bridgeman 74% ▲+62Samsung Lions vs SSG Landers SSG Landers 63% ▲+57Baycurrent Classic: Top 10 Finishers Max Homa 73% ▲+54What will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by? Fire (again) 3.4% ▼−50Kosovo vs Austria Kosovo 4.5% ▼−50OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11 Above 164 T tokens 77% ▲+42Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Cassidy Hutchinson 48% ▲+39Bank of Mexico Decision in November? No change 56% ▼−39Sakamoto vs Rublev Rei Sakamoto 66% ▲+38Buse / Vallejo vs Andreozzi / Guinard Ignacio Buse / Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 58% ▲+38Sasnovich vs Kalieva Elvina Kalieva 62% ▲+35ATP Shanghai Winner Carlos Alcaraz 35% ▲+35
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 31 leads at 75% (about 8 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 9, 05:28 UTC. It's up 2 points in the last 24 hours.

December 31 75% ▲ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 9, 05:28 UTC
  • December 31 75% +2
  • October 31 1.6% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$3K
Traded in all$122K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts

December 31, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 1Oct 975%

Oct 2: 75% · Oct 3: 71% · Oct 4: 73% · Oct 5: 77% · Oct 6: 75% · Oct 7: 73% · Oct 8: 70% · Oct 9: 75%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

World

More markets like this

All →