The odds
as of Oct 6, 01:39 UTC- Chance of yes 3.3% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$764K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 29: 3.4% · Sep 30: 3.5% · Oct 1: 3.3% · Oct 2: 3.4% · Oct 3: 3% · Oct 4: 3.1% · Oct 5: 3.3% · Oct 6: 3.3%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗