The odds
as of Oct 15, 22:23 UTC- Chance of yes 5% −1
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$124K
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 8: 5.5% · Oct 9: 5.5% · Oct 10: 6% · Oct 11: 6% · Oct 12: 7% · Oct 13: 6% · Oct 14: 6% · Oct 15: 5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
See it on Polymarket ↗