The odds
as of Oct 7, 14:27 UTC- December 31, 2026 36% +2
- October 31, 2026 5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$501
Traded in all$477K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
December 31, 2026, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 30: 35% · Oct 1: 34% · Oct 2: 34% · Oct 3: 36% · Oct 4: 32% · Oct 5: 35% · Oct 6: 35% · Oct 7: 36%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
See it on Polymarket ↗