The odds
as of Oct 10, 15:23 UTC- Chance of yes 13% +2
Traded today$687
Traded in all$602K
Yes, 7 days+1.3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 3: 12% · Oct 4: 11% · Oct 5: 11% · Oct 6: 11% · Oct 7: 11% · Oct 8: 11% · Oct 9: 11% · Oct 10: 13%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗