The odds
as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC- Chance of yes 26% +8.5
Traded today$726
Traded in all$124K
Yes, 7 days+14 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 12% · Sep 29: 16% · Sep 30: 14% · Oct 1: 16% · Oct 2: 16% · Oct 3: 16% · Oct 4: 18% · Oct 5: 26%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
See it on Polymarket ↗