The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Italy 22% +8.5
- New Zealand 12% +0.5
- Japan 11% +2.5
- The Netherlands 10% +2
- Finland 9% —
- Belgium 7.5% —
- Greece 7.5% −2
- United States 7.1% +3.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$762K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts
Italy, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 8.5% · Sep 29: 9.5% · Sep 30: 9% · Oct 1: 9.5% · Oct 2: 9% · Oct 3: 13% · Oct 4: 13% · Oct 5: 22%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗