The odds
as of Oct 7, 21:24 UTC- Frontier Airlines 7.5% −2.5
- JetBlue 5.5% −1.3
- Allegiant 2.8% —
- Alaska Airlines 2.1% —
- American Airlines 1.9% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$656
Traded in all$156K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Frontier Airlines, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 30: 9.5% · Oct 1: 9.5% · Oct 2: 9.5% · Oct 3: 9.5% · Oct 4: 9.5% · Oct 5: 10% · Oct 6: 10% · Oct 7: 7.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.
A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗