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PolymarketCloses October 18, 2026

"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office

<8m leads at 69% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 15, 11:23 UTC. It's up 15 points in the last 24 hours.

<8m 69% ▲ 15 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 15, 11:23 UTC
  • <8m 69% +15
  • 8-10m 18% −21
  • 10-12m 13% +6.8
  • 12-14m 1.1% −2
  • 14-16m <1% −1
  • 16m+ <1% −2.5
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+47 pts

<8m, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 7Oct 1569%

Oct 8: 21% · Oct 9: 66% · Oct 10: 64% · Oct 11: 67% · Oct 12: 60% · Oct 13: 59% · Oct 14: 73% · Oct 15: 69%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to how much "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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