The odds
as of Oct 16, 17:20 UTC- Chance of yes 5.1% +1.6
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$77K
Yes, 7 days+1.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 9: 3.5% · Oct 10: 3.5% · Oct 11: 3.7% · Oct 12: 3.5% · Oct 13: 3.5% · Oct 14: 3.5% · Oct 15: 3.5% · Oct 16: 5.1%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗