The odds
as of Oct 19, 08:37 UTC- Chance of yes 4% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$72K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 12: 4.7% · Oct 13: 4.7% · Oct 14: 4.7% · Oct 15: 3.5% · Oct 16: 3.7% · Oct 17: 4% · Oct 18: 4% · Oct 19: 4.1%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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