The odds
as of Oct 17, 10:20 UTC- Chance of yes 3.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$2.5M
Yes, 7 days+0.8 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 10: 2.7% · Oct 11: 4% · Oct 12: 3.6% · Oct 13: 4.9% · Oct 14: 3.5% · Oct 15: 3.4% · Oct 16: 3.8% · Oct 17: 3.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗