The odds
as of Oct 26, 05:27 UTC- Jon Rosenthal (D) 52% +5
- Bo French (R) 49% −2
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$35K
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts
Jon Rosenthal (D), the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 39% · Oct 20: 42% · Oct 21: 44% · Oct 22: 52% · Oct 23: 48% · Oct 24: 47% · Oct 25: 50% · Oct 26: 52%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 26, 05:27 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
See it on Polymarket ↗