The odds
as of Oct 21, 09:27 UTC- Paul Giamatti 92% —
- Andrew Garfield 79% +1.5
- Sam Rockwell 75% —
- Guitarricadelafuente 69% +3.5
- John Leguizamo 67% +0.5
- Edward Norton 45% +8
- Colman Domingo 24% +2.5
- Robert Pattinson 23% −1.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$38K
Favourite, 7 days+56 pts
Paul Giamatti, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 93% · Oct 15: 93% · Oct 16: 93% · Oct 17: 93% · Oct 18: 92% · Oct 19: 92% · Oct 20: 92% · Oct 21: 92%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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