The odds
as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC- The Black Ball 96% —
- The Odyssey 85% −2.5
- Project Hail Mary 68% +7
- Dune: Part Three 63% —
- Digger 63% —
- Werwulf 47% −0.5
- Sense and Sensibility 40% +5.5
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 35% +16
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 days+58 pts
The Black Ball, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 17: 40% · Oct 18: 56% · Oct 19: 57% · Oct 20: 56% · Oct 21: 86% · Oct 22: 90% · Oct 23: 96% · Oct 24: 97%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Production Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Production Design when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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