The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Rebeca Grynspan 55% −0.5
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 13% +2.5
- María Fernanda Espinosa 9.8% —
- Rafael Grossi 5.9% +1.3
- Macky Sall 3.9% —
- Michelle Bachelet 1.4% —
- Ivonne de Baki <1% —
- Olara Otunnu <1% —
Traded today$972
Traded in all$213K
Favourite, 7 days+3.5 pts
Rebeca Grynspan, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 52% · Sep 29: 72% · Sep 30: 70% · Oct 1: 62% · Oct 2: 63% · Oct 3: 55% · Oct 4: 56% · Oct 5: 55%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordA selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗