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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 31 leads at 87% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 15:27 UTC. It's up 7.6 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 15:27 UTC
  • December 31 87% +7.6
  • October 31 38% −15

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$2K
Traded in all$48K
Favourite, 7 days+41 pts

December 31, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 587%

Sep 28: 46% · Sep 29: 53% · Sep 30: 67% · Oct 1: 70% · Oct 2: 64% · Oct 3: 65% · Oct 4: 73% · Oct 5: 87%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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