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PolymarketCloses July 1, 2027

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

The market puts it at 17% — about 2 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 11, 10:24 UTC. It's down 2.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 17% ▼ 2.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 11, 10:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 17% −2.5
Traded today$22K
Traded in all$25K
Yes, 7 days−31 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 10Oct 1117%

Oct 10: 17% · Oct 11: 17%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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