The odds
as of Nov 9, 07:19 UTC- Jun 30, 2027 96% —
- Apr 30, 2027 94% +2.6
- Feb 28, 2027 90% +3.5
- Dec 31, 2026 78% +2
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days−1.4 pts
Jun 30, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 2: 97% · Nov 3: 97% · Nov 4: 97% · Nov 5: 96% · Nov 6: 96% · Nov 7: 96% · Nov 8: 96% · Nov 9: 96%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Carrick ceases to be the manager of Manchester United on or before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Ceasing to be manager includes being sacked or dismissed, resigning, departing by mutual agreement, or leaving for another role. A temporary absence for illness, compassionate leave or suspension does not count while Carrick remains under contract as manager.
The date on which Carrick ceases to be manager is the date of the official announcement by Manchester United, or the effective date of departure stated in that announcement, whichever is earlier.
If Michael Carrick is still Manchester United manager after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Manchester United. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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