The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 5.1% +1
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$2.2M
Yes, 7 days+3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 2.2% · Sep 29: 3.1% · Sep 30: 2.8% · Oct 1: 3.9% · Oct 2: 3.4% · Oct 3: 2.6% · Oct 4: 8.7% · Oct 5: 5.1%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗