The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Chance of yes 2.6% −2.4
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$248K
Yes, 7 days−2.4 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 5% · Sep 29: 5% · Sep 30: 5% · Oct 1: 5.5% · Oct 2: 5% · Oct 3: 5% · Oct 4: 4.5% · Oct 5: 2.8%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗