The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Sagal Abdi-Wali 92% +5.5
- Zack Polanski 7% −6.5
- Pat Callaghan <1% —
- Adam Harrison <1% —
- Richard Olszewski <1% —
- Sarah Hayward <1% —
- Tricia Leman <1% —
- Georgia Gould <1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$81K
Favourite, 7 days+5.5 pts
Sagal Abdi-Wali, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 87% · Sep 29: 87% · Sep 30: 85% · Oct 1: 86% · Oct 2: 84% · Oct 3: 87% · Oct 4: 89% · Oct 5: 92%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordA by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
See it on Polymarket ↗