Moving
PolymarketCloses January 11, 2027

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0% leads at 47% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 6.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • 0.6 – 1.0% 47% −6.5
  • 1.1 – 1.5% 24% −0.5
  • 0.1 – 0.5% 14% —
  • 1.6 – 2.0% 13% +7
  • 2.0-2.4% 3.9% —
  • -0.9 – -0.5% 3.8% +0.7
  • -0.4 – 0.0% 2.8% —
  • <-1.0% 1.8% —
Traded today$506
Traded in all$103K
Favourite, 7 days+14 pts

0.6 – 1.0%, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 547%

Sep 28: 33% · Sep 29: 23% · Sep 30: 27% · Oct 1: 48% · Oct 2: 51% · Oct 3: 54% · Oct 4: 46% · Oct 5: 47%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
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