Moving
US imposes new sanctions on China by...? October 31, 2026 92% ▲+84Radwanska vs Munzarova Lenka Munzarova 94% ▲+67Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar: Set 2 Winner Rafael Jodar 97% ▲+56Cakarevic vs Miron Teodora Miron 82% ▲+46Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republ… Nebraska, South Carolina 28% ▲+38Jacksonville vs Baltimore Jacksonville 80% ▲+37Lew Yan Foon vs Jovanovic Mirjana Jovanovic 86% ▲+35MLB: AL Platinum Glove Winner Caleb Durbin 32% ▲+31Sudurpaschim Royals vs Chitwan Rhinos Sudurpaschim Royals 79% ▲+31Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...? December 31, 2026 67% ▲+29Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...? 0-3 points behind 30% ▼−27Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone: Set 2 Winner Luca Van Assche 67% ▲+26Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a gove… Gadi Eisenkot 88% ▲+24Jonathan Taylor Next Team Denver 29% ▲+24
PolymarketCloses December 17, 2026

Bank of England decision in December?

No change leads at 67% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 2, 13:18 UTC. It's down 4 points in the last 24 hours.

No change 67% ▼ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 2, 13:18 UTC
  • No change 67% −4
  • 25 bps increase 31% +6
  • 25 bps decrease 2.5% −0.5
  • 50+ bps increase 2% −0.6
  • 50+ bps decrease <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days+8.5 pts

No change, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 25Nov 267%

Oct 26: 57% · Oct 27: 57% · Oct 28: 59% · Oct 29: 63% · Oct 30: 67% · Oct 31: 69% · Nov 1: 72% · Nov 2: 67%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Settlement sources: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

See it on Polymarket ↗

Economy

More markets like this

All →