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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?

The market puts it at 2.4% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC.

Yes 2.4%

The odds

as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC
  • Chance of yes 2.4% —
Traded today$917
Traded in all$43K
Yes, 7 days−12 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 72%

Oct 31: 12% · Nov 1: 10% · Nov 2: 8.5% · Nov 3: 4.5% · Nov 4: 4% · Nov 5: 3.5% · Nov 6: 2.5% · Nov 7: 2.4%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Anthony Fauci between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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