Moving
PolymarketCloses July 1, 2027

Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

The market puts it at 68% — about 7 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC. It's down 4.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC
  • Chance of yes 68% −4.5
Traded today$984
Traded in all$41K
Yes, 7 days−2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 568%

Sep 28: 73% · Sep 29: 73% · Sep 30: 71% · Oct 1: 71% · Oct 2: 72% · Oct 3: 71% · Oct 4: 73% · Oct 5: 68%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).

Settlement sources: https://jce.gob.do

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