The odds
as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC- Chance of yes 68% −4.5
Traded today$984
Traded in all$41K
Yes, 7 days−2.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 73% · Sep 29: 73% · Sep 30: 71% · Oct 1: 71% · Oct 2: 72% · Oct 3: 71% · Oct 4: 73% · Oct 5: 68%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership.
Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Settlement sources: https://jce.gob.do
See it on Polymarket ↗