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PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola leads at 73% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Mary Peltola 73% —
  • Sen. Dan Sullivan 28% —
  • Ann Diener <1% —
  • Dustin Darden <1% —
  • Richard Grayson <1% —
  • Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1% —
  • David Leslie <1% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$1.1M
Favourite, 7 daysunch

Mary Peltola, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 573%

Sep 28: 73% · Sep 29: 73% · Sep 30: 73% · Oct 1: 73% · Oct 2: 72% · Oct 3: 73% · Oct 4: 73% · Oct 5: 73%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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