Moving
PolymarketCloses January 3, 2027

3rd richest person on December 31?

Jeff Bezos leads at 39% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC. It's down 3.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC
  • Jeff Bezos 39% −3.5
  • Larry Ellison 24% −16
  • Steve Ballmer 21% −16
  • Warren Buffett 18% −13
  • Sergey Brin 16% −28
  • Bernard Arnault 14% —
  • Jensen Huang 11% −28
  • Larry Page 5.3% −41
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts

Jeff Bezos, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 539%

Sep 28: 46% · Sep 29: 41% · Sep 30: 44% · Oct 1: 41% · Oct 2: 44% · Oct 3: 41% · Oct 4: 43% · Oct 5: 39%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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