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PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner

Mark Keough leads at 95% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 1.7 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Mark Keough 95% −1.7
  • James Graf 3.6% +1
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$48K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts

Mark Keough, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 595%

Sep 28: 97% · Sep 29: 92% · Sep 30: 92% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 94% · Oct 3: 95% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 95%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
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