The odds
as of Nov 4, 07:18 UTC- Republican party 82% +7
- Democratic party 17% −8
Traded today$19K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Republican party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 81% · Oct 29: 77% · Oct 30: 75% · Oct 31: 73% · Nov 1: 73% · Nov 2: 73% · Nov 3: 75% · Nov 4: 82%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Republican party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗