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KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

Montana Senate winner?

Kurt Alme leads at 93% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's up 3 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Kurt Alme 93% +3
  • Seth Bodnar 6% −1
  • Alani Bankhead 1% −0.7
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$650K
Favourite, 7 days+2.6 pts

Kurt Alme, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 593%

Sep 28: 91% · Sep 29: 91% · Sep 30: 91% · Oct 1: 92% · Oct 2: 92% · Oct 3: 92% · Oct 4: 93% · Oct 5: 93%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Kurt Alme; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: United States Congress

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