The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Peggy Flanagan 86% −1
- Michele Tafoya 14% —
Traded today$79K
Traded in all$1.4M
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts
Peggy Flanagan, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 90% · Sep 29: 90% · Sep 30: 89% · Oct 1: 90% · Oct 2: 88% · Oct 3: 88% · Oct 4: 86% · Oct 5: 86%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Peggy Flanagan; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Democratic (DFL) party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗