The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Roger Marshall 66% —
- Adam Hamilton 35% −1
Traded today$110K
Traded in all$2.7M
Favourite, 7 days−5 pts
Roger Marshall, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 71% · Sep 29: 71% · Sep 30: 71% · Oct 1: 71% · Oct 2: 69% · Oct 3: 66% · Oct 4: 66% · Oct 5: 66%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Roger Marshall; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗