The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Jim Risch 93% −1
- Todd Achilles 7.5% —
- David Roth <1% —
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$290K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Jim Risch, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 92% · Sep 29: 92% · Sep 30: 92% · Oct 1: 92% · Oct 2: 93% · Oct 3: 93% · Oct 4: 93% · Oct 5: 93%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Jim Risch; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗