The odds
as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC- At least 5 weeks 7.5% −0.5
- At least 6 weeks 5% +1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$580
Traded in all$146K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts
At least 5 weeks, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 17% · Sep 29: 10% · Sep 30: 7.5% · Oct 1: 7.5% · Oct 2: 8.5% · Oct 3: 4.5% · Oct 4: 4% · Oct 5: 7.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, At least 5 weeks; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ICEMAN by Drake spends at least 5 week(s) at the #1 position on the Billboard 200 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
Settlement sources: Billboard
See it on Kalshi ↗