The odds
as of Oct 8, 14:29 UTC- Before Aug 8, 2026 2% —
- Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5% +2
- Before Oct 1, 2026 1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Aug 8, 2026; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the SAVE America Act after Issuance and before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment
Settlement sources: United States Senate; Fox News; MSNBC; The Wall Street Journal; Semafor; ABC; United States House of Representatives; New York Times; CBS; Axios; CNN; Reuters; The Washington Post; Bloomberg News; the Associated Press; Energy Information Administration; Politico; Congressional Record
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