The odds
as of Nov 2, 21:15 UTC- At least 1 40% +15
- At least 2 17% −3
- At least 3 18% +15
- At least 4 14% +5
- At least 5 6.7% +2.3
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$42K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts
At least 1, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 27% · Oct 27: 28% · Oct 28: 27% · Oct 29: 26% · Oct 30: 26% · Oct 31: 26% · Nov 1: 26% · Nov 2: 40%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, At least 1; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If President Trump vetoes at least 1 bill or resolution before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A “pocket veto” is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
Settlement sources: United States Congress; White House; The New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗