Moving
Ashdod vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat 13% ▼−61Al Dhafra vs Dubai United Al Dhafra 88% ▲+49"expectations" by Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan ·… Rank 1 to 2 20% ▼−45South Africa Champions vs England Champions England Champions 86% ▲+40MIBR vs. Astralis Astralis 56% ▼−39Fear & Greed Index on Oct 16, 2026? Fear 81% ▲+36Who will Trump pardon before 2027? Daniel Penny 48% ▲+34Karmine Corp vs. MVK Esports Karmine Corp 84% ▲+34Fed decision in Jul 2027? Cut 25bps 3.5% ▼−33Salkova vs Boskovic Dominika Salkova 91% ▲+30Wiskandt vs Giunta Massimo Giunta 95% ▲+30Nuclear TigeRES vs. Team Nemesis Team Nemesis 81% ▲+30WTA Wuhan Winner Iga Swiatek 71% ▲+29Petruzelova vs Glushkova Lucie Petruzelova 81% ▲+28
KalshiCloses November 3, 2026

Velo Point of Sale Growth in October

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above 195 at 94% on Kalshi, as of Oct 16, 14:25 UTC. It's up 7 points in the last 24 hours.

Above 195 94% ▲ 7 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 16, 14:25 UTC
  • Above 195 94% +7
  • Above 240 41% —
  • Above 245 56% —
  • Above 250 8% −45
  • Above 255 6.5% —
  • Above 260 3.5% —
  • Above 265 3% —
  • Above 270 2.5% —

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$5K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+9.5 pts

Above 195, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 8Oct 1667%

Oct 9: 85% · Oct 10: 89% · Oct 11: 92% · Oct 12: 93% · Oct 13: 71% · Oct 14: 85% · Oct 15: 93% · Oct 16: 67%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 195; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Carbon Arc Velo Point of Sale Growth (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 195 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 2nd calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 2nd. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Velo Point of Sale Growth was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel using in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Carbon Arc

See it on Kalshi ↗

Economy

More markets like this

All →