The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Pete Fry 75% +6
- Ken Sim 25% −10
- Rebecca Bligh 2.5% —
- Sean Orr 2.5% —
- Kirk LaPointe 2.1% —
- John Coupar 1.6% —
- Kareem Allam 1.1% +0.7
- William Azaroff 1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$59K
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts
Pete Fry, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 69% · Sep 29: 68% · Sep 30: 68% · Oct 1: 65% · Oct 2: 68% · Oct 3: 69% · Oct 4: 70% · Oct 5: 75%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Pete Fry; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Pete Fry wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: City of Vancouver
See it on Kalshi ↗