The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Significant decrease 54% +2
- No significant difference 33% —
- Significant increase 5.7% −9
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$64K
Favourite, 7 days−3.5 pts
Significant decrease, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 58% · Sep 29: 50% · Sep 30: 53% · Oct 1: 48% · Oct 2: 52% · Oct 3: 49% · Oct 4: 54% · Oct 5: 54%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Significant decrease; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Nation's Report Card
See it on Kalshi ↗