The odds
as of Oct 31, 03:18 UTC- Above 1.5 million 96% +1
- Above 1.55 million 97% +1
- Above 1.6 million 95% —
- Above 1.65 million 90% —
- Above 1.7 million 84% −12
- Above 1.75 million 81% −10
- Above 1.8 million 38% −35
- Above 1.85 million 18% −4
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$67K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts
Above 1.55 million, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 25: 98% · Oct 27: 98% · Oct 28: 98% · Oct 29: 98% · Oct 30: 98% · Oct 31: 97%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 1.55 million; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1550000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗