The odds
as of Oct 22, 18:28 UTC- Democratic party 95% —
- Republican party 6.5% —
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Democratic party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 15: 95% · Oct 16: 95% · Oct 17: 95% · Oct 18: 95% · Oct 19: 95% · Oct 20: 95% · Oct 21: 95% · Oct 22: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic party wins the Nevada Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Nevada Senate
See it on Kalshi ↗