The odds
as of Oct 26, 05:27 UTC- Democratic party 77% —
- Republican party 21% +5
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
Democratic party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 19: 70% · Oct 20: 77% · Oct 21: 75% · Oct 22: 76% · Oct 23: 77% · Oct 24: 77% · Oct 25: 77% · Oct 26: 77%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic party wins the Arizona State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Arizona State Senate; The New York Times
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