The odds
as of Oct 11, 01:47 UTC- Chance of yes 59% +2
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$64K
Yes, 7 days+2.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 56% · Oct 5: 56% · Oct 6: 56% · Oct 7: 56% · Oct 8: 57% · Oct 9: 56% · Oct 10: 56% · Oct 11: 59%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf two SpaceX Starships (any kind of Starship – e.g. tankers, depots, testing vehicles) successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; SpaceX
See it on Kalshi ↗