The odds
as of Oct 5, 11:25 UTC- Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice 37% +2
- Roybal v. Griffith 37% −3
- Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory 33% +2
- U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court 31% —
- Republican National Committee v. Eakin 26% —
- Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day 21% +2
- Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States 16% —
- Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists 11% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$44K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 39% · Sep 29: 39% · Sep 30: 39% · Oct 1: 33% · Oct 2: 33% · Oct 3: 33% · Oct 4: 33% · Oct 5: 34%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Supreme Court
See it on Kalshi ↗